iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)

TLT (NASDAQ:Financial Services) ETF
$140.57
pos +1.93
+1.39%
Today's Range: 139.19 - 140.82 | TLT Avg Daily Volume: 6,982,700
Last Update: 07/01/16 - 4:00 PM EDT
Volume: 14,784,935
YTD Performance: 14.77%
Open: $140.81
Previous Close: $138.64
52 Week Range: $115.39 - $140.13
Oustanding Shares: 66,700,000
Market Cap: 9,230,613,000
6-Month Chart
TheStreet Ratings Grade for TLT
Buy Hold Sell
A+ A A- B+ B B- C+ C C- D+ D D- E+ E E- F
TheStreet Ratings is the source for accurate ratings that you can rely upon to make sound, informed financial decisions. Click here to find out about our methodology.
Analysts Ratings
Historical Rec Current 1 Mo. Ago 2 Mo. Ago 3 Mo. Ago
Strong Buy
Moderate Buy
Hold
Moderate Sell
Strong Sell
Mean Rec. 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Latest Dividend: 0.00
Latest Dividend Yield: 0.00%
Dividend Ex-Date: 12/31/69
Price Earnings Ratio: 0.00
Price Earnings Comparisons:
TLT Sector Avg. S&P 500
0.00 0.00 12.90
Price Performance History (%Change):
3 Mo 1 Yr 3 Y
5.58% 17.43% 25.31%
GROWTH 12 Mo 3 Yr CAGR
Revenue 0.00 0.00 0.00
Net Income 0.00 0.00 0.00
EPS 0.00 0.00 0.00
Earnings for TLT:
EBITDA 0.00B
Revenue 0.00B
Average Earnings Estimates

Earnings Estimates data is not available for TLT.

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By

Doug Kass

 | Jul 1, 2016 | 4:56 PM EDT
The U.S. dollar weakened. The price of crude oil rose by 83 cents to $49.15. Gold roared ahead, up $25 to $1,345 as it breakouts from the $1,300 level. Agricultural commodities got schmeissed across the board: wheat -16, corn -4, soybean -16 and oats -7. Bonds continued to ramp. iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) was up $1.68. The yield on the 10-year U.S. note dropped by four basis points to 1.46% after hitting 1.40% early in the morning. The long bond yield declined by seven basis points to a 2.24% yield. The 2s/10s spread declined to a new record low of 85 basis points. Not good for financials that borrow short and lend longer and that have an asset-sensitive balance sheet. Municipal bonds were down small but closed-end funds traded somewhat higher. High-yield bonds were mixed. Blackstone/GSO Strategic Credit Fund (BGB) was up a dime and back to $14.50 in the search for yield. Banks disappointed for the second day in a row, as I suggested in my Sell Banks post yesterday morning. http://realmoneypro.thestreet.com/dougs-daily-diary?published[value][date]=2016-06-30#why-im-not-bank-20160630 All major money center banks were lower today. After the close Warren Buffett filed for permission to go over 10% of Wells Fargo's (WFC) ownership, though he currently doesn't have an intention to do so. He is averaging down! Brokerage stocks also were lower, but marginally so. Insurance stocks also stunk after a feeble rally from large declines in the last week. I remain short Lincoln National (LNC) and MetLife (MET). Retail was mixed to higher. Shorts Nordstrom (JWN) and Foot Locker (FL) didn't do a damn thing. Old tech flat lined. Autos rallied small but could get hit on the after-the-close news. I covered much of my shorts in the belly of Monday's declines. I am a short seller on strength now. iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF (IBB) was up $5. Allergan (AGN) rose $3 and there were good gains for value plays Celgene (CELG) and Gilead Sciences (GILD). Energy and media were mixed. Ag equipment was mixed. Caterpillar (CAT) was up a half a buck but Deere (DE) was down after a Morgan Stanley downgrade yesterday. (T)FANG returned to favor, led by Amazon (AMZN), Alphabet (GOOGL) and Netflix (NFLX), which caught an upgrade. Staples quieted down. In individual stocks, Twitter (TWTR) is making a move back toward some previous resistance (I added). My longs DuPont (DD) and Hartford Financial Services Group (HIG) showed little movement. Here are some value-added contributions on our site: 1. Jim "EL Capitan " Cramer gets toothy.  He also chimes on Tesla's (TSLA) accident.   Again, Tom Graff on bonds and Tim "Not Phil or Judy" Collins on bond spreads.  Eric Jackson on the impact of the Lions Gate (LGF) deal on Viacom (VIAB).  Rev Shark on correction risks.
By

Doug Kass

 | Jul 1, 2016 | 2:43 PM EDT
Over on RealMoney, Tom Graff takes exception to my bond short in a well-reasoned column. 
By

Timothy Collins

 | Jul 1, 2016 | 10:31 AM EDT

Try this options strategy to play overbought, long-dated Treasuries.

By

Doug Kass

 | Jun 30, 2016 | 6:31 PM EDT
The U.S. dollar strengthened. The price of crude oil fell by $1.50 to $48.40. Gold was essentially unchanged. Agricultural commodities: wheat flat, corn -9, soybean +42(!!) and oats unchanged. Lumber +4. Bonds rose slightly in price. The "action" in iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) seems toppy to me, but I am short less on price action and more based on fundamental analysis and historical relationships (see above). The yield on the 10-year U.S. note was unchanged at 1.48%. The long bond yield was up one basis point to yield 2.29%. The 2s/10s spread was up by two basis points to 90 basis points. Municipals were well-bid. Closed-end municipal bond funds were mixed. The high-yield bond market was strong, while Blackstone/GSO Strategic Credit Fund (BGB) was up 11 cents. Banks were a bit of a disappointment, failing to materially follow through after the stress tests were announced. Insurance stocks were disappointing. Small gains for Lincoln National (LNC) and MetLife (MET). Brokerages thrived. Morgan Stanley (MS) rose 75 cents and Goldman Sachs (GS) was up $3. Premature sellage by me. Retail stocks were mixed to lower. Foot Locker (FL) and Nike (NKE) were lower after large gains on Wednesday. Nordstrom (JWN), a short, was up 18 cents. Old tech was stronger, led by IBM (IBM), up $3. Autos were weak, down most of the day. Not a good sign to be in the red on such a strong day in the markets. Agricultural equipment was mixed. Media had a mixed message, though Disney (DIS) and Comcast (CMCSA) were higher (I covered on Monday). Energy stocks shined despite a large drop in crude prices. Exxon Mobil (XOM) and SLB were up nicely. Programs? Regardless, another weird feature of today's market. Biotech was disappointing. iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF (IBB) was flat, with several large and speculative stocks clearly rolling over. New lows for Valeant (VRX). Staples were the world's fair after the Mondelez (MDLZ) MDbid for Hershey. Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP), covered on Monday, surged by $1.22. Campbell Soup (CPB) and Pepsico (PEP) were up big. (T)FANG was mixed. Tesla (TSLA) was strong in the regular session, but sold off in the after hours after some safety concerns. In individual stocks, Hartford Financial Services Group (HIG) was up $1.22 (I have been steadily accumulating). My long fav DuPont (DD) was up 90 cents after getting schmeissed in the last few days. There was a vague (and to me, silly) rumor of a Potash (POT) takeover; it makes no sense because Canadian government sees the company as important to the country as an independent entity. Coca-Cola (KO), a short, got caught up in the strength of the defensive sector. Here are some valuable contributions on the site today: Nice video on banks by Jim "El Capitan" Cramer.  "Big" James Gentile is looking forward to fireworks, but not the ones over the holiday weekend!  Brian Sozzi on food companies hurrying up to merge.  Tony Owusu on Facebook's (FB) friendliness.  Rev Shark on meddling central bankers.
By

Doug Kass

 | Jun 30, 2016 | 1:23 PM EDT
Click here to check out the intraday chart for the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT).
By

Doug Kass

 | Jun 30, 2016 | 12:00 PM EDT

Low U.S. Treasury yields tell me that bond prices are in a bubble.

By

Timothy Collins

 | Jun 30, 2016 | 11:37 AM EDT

Daily, weekly and monthly charts for TLT all contain somewhat similar triggers, but they rarely all trigger at the same time.

By

Doug Kass

 | Jun 30, 2016 | 10:25 AM EDT
"I think there are gonna be history books written about this period that rational people will read at some point, [and] they are gonna ask this question of economic historians with complete bewilderment in their voice:
By

Doug Kass

 | Jun 29, 2016 | 4:00 PM EDT
I am still in my board meeting
By

Doug Kass

 | Jun 28, 2016 | 5:32 PM EDT
The U.S. dollar weakened. Crude oil rose by $1.67 to $48 a barrel. Gold dropped by $10 to $1,314. Agricultural commodities: wheat -2, corn unchanged, soybean +15, oats +2.50. Lumber +10.00. Bonds were flattish. iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) was up 29 cents, likely buoyed by terrorism in Turkey (see above). The 10-year yield was unchanged at 1.46% and the long bond also flat on yield at 2.27%. Non-taxables were flat and closed-end muni bond funds were pennies higher. The high-yield bond market was higher, reversing yesterday's large losses. iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) was up $1.03 and SPDR Barclays High Yield Bond ETF (JNK) was up 44 cents. Blackstone/GSO Strategic Credit Fund (BGB), down 20 cents yesterday, recaptured 16 cents today. Banks were the "world's fair" and were market leaders with gains of 3% to 4%. I purchased positions (long rentals) on Monday in Citigroup (C), Bank of America (BAC) and JPMorgan Chase (JPM). Insurance stocks were upside features after they were decimated by nearly 20% in the last two days. My long Hartford Financial Services Group (HIG) rose by over a beaner. Lincoln National (LNC) and MetLife (MET) also were up $1, which, considering the magnitude of the previous decline, was quite disappointing. I covered much of my life shorts on Monday. Brokerages flourished. I purchased Goldman Sachs (GS) and Morgan Stanley (MS) on Monday, and today they were up $3 and $1, respectively. Retail was mixed. Home Depot (HD) and Lowe's (LOW) led, but NKE and FL were down after the NKE miss. My short Nordstrom (JWN) was up $1. Auto stocks underperformed. I had covered a lot yesterday. Energy was responsive to higher crude oil prices. Schlumberger (SLB) was up $1.60 and Exxon Mobil (XOM) rose $2.20. Both shorts were covered yesterday. Old tech was strong, led by IBM (IBM) and Microsoft (MSFT). Biotech went from goat to hero. iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF (IBB) climbed $9, led by Allergan (AGN), which was up $10. A dead-cat bounce for Valeant (VRX), which was up $1.40. Speculative biotech also moved higher. Agricultural equipment was stronger, led by dollar gains at Caterpillar (CAT) and Deere (DE). Media was up. I covered Comcast (CMCSA) yesterday. Disney (DIS) rose $1.65. (T)FANG attracted buyers, with Amazon (AMZN) and Alphabet (GOOGL) strong. Netflix (NFLX) rose 4%. In individual stocks, my long fav DuPont (DD) was under pressure and fell $1.33, Oaktree Capital Group (OAK) gained fractionally and Twitter (TWTR) was up a half a buck or so. In sectors, Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) and Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLB) were underperformers. I covered them recently. Here are some valuable contributions on our site today: Jim "El Capitan" Cramer on more than FANG.  Ben "Godlfinger" Cross on, what else? Gold!   RevShark on Da Bulls and Da Bears. Rev is uncertain about today's implications, and I respect his honesty!  Shad Gad "And the Pharoahs" is patient in an impatient market.  Tom Graff on bonds.
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