Comcast Corp (CMCSA)

CMCSA (NASDAQ:Media) EQUITY
$56.78
pos +0.00
+0.00%
Today's Range: 55.59 - 57.05 | CMCSA Avg Daily Volume: 13,289,600
Last Update: 02/12/16 - 4:00 PM EST
Volume: 0
YTD Performance: 0.62%
Open: $0.00
Previous Close: $56.04
52 Week Range: $50.01 - $64.99
Oustanding Shares: 2,461,287,113
Market Cap: 137,930,529,813
6-Month Chart
TheStreet Ratings Grade for CMCSA
Buy Hold Sell
A+ A A- B+ B B- C+ C C- D+ D D- E+ E E- F
TheStreet Ratings is the source for accurate ratings that you can rely upon to make sound, informed financial decisions. Click here to find out about our methodology.
Analysts Ratings
Historical Rec Current 1 Mo. Ago 2 Mo. Ago 3 Mo. Ago
Strong Buy 16 15 15 15
Moderate Buy 2 2 2 2
Hold 3 4 4 4
Moderate Sell 0 0 0 0
Strong Sell 0 0 0 0
Mean Rec. 1.36 1.45 1.45 1.45
Latest Dividend: 0.28
Latest Dividend Yield: 1.96%
Dividend Ex-Date: 04/04/16
Price Earnings Ratio: 17.03
Price Earnings Comparisons:
CMCSA Sector Avg. S&P 500
17.03 17.30 26.86
Price Performance History (%Change):
3 Mo 1 Yr 3 Y
-7.66% -2.74% 45.70%
GROWTH 12 Mo 3 Yr CAGR
Revenue 8.30 0.19 0.06
Net Income -2.10 0.07 0.02
EPS 1.40 0.41 0.12
Earnings for CMCSA:
EBITDA 24.68B
Revenue 74.51B
Average Earnings Estimates
Qtr (03/16) Qtr (06/16) FY (12/16) FY (12/17)
Average Estimate $0.80 $0.86 $3.55 $3.92
Number of Analysts 19 19 22 21
High Estimate $0.85 $0.92 $3.75 $4.17
Low Estimate $0.76 $0.82 $3.42 $3.76
Prior Year $0.79 $0.84 $3.25 $3.55
Growth Rate (Year over Year) 1.33% 2.57% 9.10% 10.54%
Chart Benchmark Timeframe
Average Frequency Indicator Chart
Scale Symbol Comparison Bollinger Bands
By

Doug Kass

 | Feb 12, 2016 | 6:13 PM EST
As I wrote in my opener, "At a Good Turn, You Will Not Want to Buy," I chronicled gems from legendary technical analyst Wally Deemer and expressed the view that bottoms are rarely accompanied by optimism and buying -- though I am sure the storytellers in the business media likely already will have forgotten their Cassandra-like warnings of yesterday. We closed right on my Fair Market Value calculation of 1864! We closed nearly 60 handles from yesterday's lows/test. I consider today a successful test of the 1812 capitulation low of yesterday and 3 ½ weeks ago. Today's bounce showed how many were offsides and essentially immobilized by the recent declines. Many were clearly short equities and/or crude, and today's up move demonstrated how conservatively positioned the longs are. The contrary worked this week. Does that mean we go straight up?  Obviously not. As I posted, I thought it prudent to scale back my large long exposure to between small and medium in size in front of the weekend. Frankly, I want to enjoy myself and not worry about large positions. My long "Trade of the Week," Citigroup (C), at $37.70 provided no profits but it could have been worse; it closed the week down 15 cents after some drama!  My short "Trade of the Week," iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT), was a big win of $4 in about 24 hours. I closed it and my long ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury (TBT) out.  The U.S. dollar strengthened. Crude was the standout asset class, up by $2.94 to $29.15. Gold gave back $8.60 Agricultural commodities flatlined, with wheat, corn, sugar, soybeans and oats unchanged. Lumber was up $2.10. Treasuries were nine to 10 basis points higher at the longer end  and the yield curve began to steepen from its flatness. Municipals got hit and so did closedend municipal bond funds. High yield was quite strong, maybe the largest gains in weeks. iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) was up $1.17 and SPDR Barclays High Yield Bond ETF (JNK) was up 47 cents. Blackstone/GSO Strategic Credit Fund (BGB) disappointed and was flat; I added to an already large holding. Jamie Dimon set the positive tone for banks this morning and so did the Deutsche Bank (DB) bond tender as well as the improvement in crude oil, and boy did the sector respond, with gains of 6% to 8%, albeit from depressed levels. Citigroup rose $2.50, JPMorgan Chase (JPM) was up $4.40 for its best day in five years, and Wells Fargo (WFC) and Comerica (CMA) also rose. I purchased depressed and controversial DB to add to my long list of bank longs. Brokerages shined, with 3% to 5% gains; see Dan Loeb on Morgan Stanley (MS) below. Life insurance stocks reversed yesterday's losses. I covered long-time life insurance shorts and purchased calls after 40% gains in only a few months. Lincoln National (LNC) and MetLife (MET) remain on my Best Ideas List because I plan to short strength. They're oversold for now, as was the market. I added to Hartford Financial Services Group (HIG) and Allstate (ALL) longs.  Retail was stronger despite some downgrades for Best Buy (BBY) and Bed, Bath and Beyond (BBBY). The stocks are dirt cheap. I continue to hold Macy's (M) -- my favorite -- BBY and BBBY. Remodelers Home Depot (HD) and Lowe's (LOW) had dead-cat bounces. Media, though higher, disappointed in its bounce-back. I remain short with small positions in Comcast (CMCSA) and Disney (DIS). Autos were higher. I covered General Motors (GM) today, but it is still on my Best Ideas List as I am a short-seller on 10% strength. Biotech was up 3%, with Valeant Pharmaceuticals (VRX) and Allergan (AGN) performing better.  My 12-stock biotech basket did well. Large caps Celgene (CELG) and Gilead Sciences (GILD) were $2 to $3 higher. Speculative Acadia Pharmaceuticals (ACAD), Portola Pharmaceuticals (PTLA) and Sage Therapeutics (SAGE) -- now up 10% from yesterday -- were stronger. (T)FANG was conspicuously weak, with negligible gains. Tesla (TSLA) was down on the day. The words in my opener rang true: "The market's former leaders (biotech, Internet, health care and consumer discretionary stocks) all seem to be in an initial leg down, but look like they're oversold and could have a weak bounce, with a test to come later. That could represent an important intermediate-term leadership change." Remember, leadership changes are typically not market-friendly.  Let's watch (T)FANG closely in the days ahead. NOSH members were all higher, but not materially so. CRABBY was happy with C, Radian Group (RDN), ALL and Alleghany (Y) faring well. Dan Loeb's Third Point just filed with 3 million shares of MS. He also increased his position in Dow Chemical (DOW). I sold two-thirds of my SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) long rental and half of my iShares Russell 2000 (IWM) at good prices and for profits. This, coupled with some short covers and additional buys (including ALL, BGB and HIG), moved me from a large to between small and medium in
By

Doug Kass

 | Feb 9, 2016 | 3:41 PM EST
As days go these days, stocks were on the quiet side. Up down up down up, thus far. The U.S. dollar's weakness has accelerated. Oil vey, more crude weakness -- dropping by $1.46 to $28.23. Gold fell $3.70 for a change, but the strong uptrend remains intact. As I mentioned yesterday, I had reams of analysis but I just couldn't process it in time for the ramp, which is disappointing as I was leaning to go long. In agricultural commodities, wheat, corn and soybeans were flattish. Lumber fell by 0.5%. Government bonds show limited movement, with yields down one or two basis points. Municipal bond prices and yields showed little change, though closed-end municipal bond funds showed some life, with several rising by almost 1%!. High yield was junky, with iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) down 45 cents and SPDR Barclays High Yield Bond ETF (JNK) down 21 cents. Blackstone/GSO Strategic Credit Fund (BGB) continued to get hit mildly. Banks exhibited little movement. I added to Citigroup (C), Morgan Stanley (MS) and Bank of America (BAC) today. New Best Ideas List entrants, banks BB&T (BBT) and Regions Financial (RF), traded in the green.  Life insurance stocks were flat; Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) was up a beaner. Retail was mixed. Home Depot (HD) and Lowe's (LOW) bounced back after several days of  schmeissing. Wal-Mart (WMT) saw some profit taking and apparel still is weak. Macy's (M) and Bed, Bath and Beyond (BBBY) were slightly higher, but Best Buy (BBY) was a bit lower. The continued fall from grace of Sears Holdings (SHLD) on disappointing results -- it's down around 7% today -- should be a concern to real estate and mall owners. Biotech was uninspiring after recent declines. Valeant Pharmaceuticals (VRX) continues under distribution. Speculative Intrexon (XON) got hit. Allergan (AGN) rallied after yesterday's fall. Regarding autos: I covered my Ford (F) short, but still am short General Motors (GM), which is on my Best Ideas List as a short. Old tech was mixed, with IBM (IBM) a standout loser, down more than $2. Microsoft (MSFT) and Intel (INTC) managed small gains. Media was awful, with Comcast (CMCSA) and Disney (DIS) lower; the latter's earnings are today. Energy stocks got hit with the commodity. Though I covered Schlumberger (SLB) and Exxon Mobil (XOM) shorts for great gains, I should have held those shorts. But who knew $28 oil? Brokerages reversed after being much lower. They're now up on the day. In  "A Few of My Favorite Things," I again highlighted DuPont (DD), which is up another $1, and Procter & Gamble (PG), which is flat. (T)FANG, the object of my scorn in yesterday's opener, had a dead-cat bounce that was unimpressive by any standard. Amazon (AMZN) is still down on the day, and Tesla (TSLA) is barely higher. Alphabet (GOOGL) is unchanged.  NOSH had all four components higher, led by HD (mentioned previously). CRABBY was as flat as the desert. Radian Group (RDN) traded a tad higher, and other stocks made modest moves. Twitter (TWTR) moved ever lower, and the masochist in me purchased it in my pension plan, as I did C, BAC and MS at reasonably good prices. As mentioned, I added to a number of existing longs and re-established a SPY long rental and added a new iShares Russell 2000 (IWM) long. I likely will end the day between small and medium net long. It's lonely being long -- hopefully, my buys become green.
By

Doug Kass

 | Feb 8, 2016 | 6:17 PM EST
Again, I am endeavoring to be opportunistic (trading) in a market that is fragile,  too volatile and unpredictable to be comfortable with an abundance of many longer-term investments. At the bottom this afternoon, things looked dreadful. It was not easy to make a long trading rental and add to existing shorts. The S&P 500 ended at 1853, very close to my fair market value of 1860. The U.S. dollar weakened a bit after a five day period of consolidating against the euro. Bonds dropped by nearly 10 basis points in yield at the intermediate- and longer-term maturities. Non taxables were well-bid and closed-end municipal bond funds were slightly higher on the day. High yield was junky, reflecting systemic concerns in the European Union and China (large reserve pull down). iShares iBoxx $ High Yield  Corporate Bond Fund (HYG) was down 91 cents and SPDR Barclays High Yield Bond ETF (JNK) was down 40 cents. Blackstone/GSO Strategic Credit Fund (BGB) got pulled down and traded poorly. Gold fell from its highs but still closed $32.70 to the good. Silver was up 55 cents. I had been working on a positive thesis on gold but other projects got in the way, and I blew the opportunity as the price has risen on eight out of the 10 last trading days.   In agricultural commodities, wheat got schmeissed (down eight cents) and corn was down three cents. Lumber was flat. Crude closed down 84 cents, at $30.25, but natural gas was up six cents. Energy stocks, including Exxon Mobil (XOM) and Schlumberger (SLB), prospered today, despite a depressed commodity price. It might be foreshadowing better oil prices; we will see. Banks again were weaker as European institutions took a nosedive. I added to my large position. But life insurance wasn't any better, falling from the pressure of lower yields. I covered some MetLife (MET) and Lincoln National (LNC) shorts. Brokerages got caught in the systemic rumors and concerns and were lower on the day; I added to Morgan Stanley (MS) and Goldman Sachs (GS). Oaktree Capital Group (OAK) ended the day fractionally higher. Retail that I owned wasn't half bad; Best Buy (BBY) and Bed, Bath and Beyond (BBBY) closed higher, but Macy's (M) retreated by 60 cents. That said, remodeling favs Home Depot (HD) and Lowe's (LOW) continued the thrashing that accelerated on Friday. After the close, The Gap (GPS) reported that same-store sales were down 8%. However, its guidance was better than expected and the stock is rallying a small fraction after hours. Lululemon (LULU), Coach (COH) and Under Armour (UA) were all much weaker in a poor apparel space. Autos were mixed; Ford (F) was higher and General Motors (GM) lower. I wonder, after great gains on the short side, whether I am outstaying my welcome. But, I have taken down these shorts to small. Media was awful -- even good performer Comcast (CMCSA) faltered. New lows for Disney (DIS). Old tech was weak, led by Microsoft (MSFT) and Intel (INTC), but bounced off their lows along with the rest of the market. Staples were broadly higher, led by PG, which embodies the flight to safety.  Biotech was decimated. Valeant Pharmaceuticals (VRX) was down by another $6.50 and my spec fav Intrexon (XON) was down by a beaner. Allergan (AGN) hit a new recent low at $266. (T)FANG weakness and future were chronicled in my opening missive today. The acronym was lower, but Alphabet (GOOGL) and Netflix (NFLX) managed to rise modestly. Tesla (TSLA) got hit badly (down $14), as did Facebook (FB) and, to a lesser degree, Amazon (AMZN). NOSH was starving; Nike (NKE), O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) and Home Depot (HD) were down bigtime. Starbucks (SBUX) rallied off the lows to end the day flat. CRABBY was mixed, led to the downside by Citigroup (C); I added it. Disease-like laggards Potash (POT) and Twitter (TWTR), which reports Wednesday, continued to lag.  iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) -- a Best Ideas List participant as a short -- doesn't have an uptick in it.  Apple's (AAPL) strength was conspicuous , up $1.20. During the day I added to many of my existing longs and added to new banks Regions Financial (RF) and BB&T (BBT); I put them on the Best Ideas List. Again, i see banks as multiyear plays and not as short-term trades. I also covered small positions in a broad list of my core shorts, including DIS, MET and LNC. As mentioned, I day traded an aggressive position in SPY for a profit. I will continue to try to accomplish that feat. I ended the day at market neutral. For the time being and assuming no change in fundamentals, I remain a SPY buyer between the capitulation low (two Wednesdays ago at $181.25 and about $183.50) and I remain a seller on strength above $185. I know that's a pretty tight range, which likely will be resolved s
By

Doug Kass

 | Feb 8, 2016 | 8:59 AM EST
I remain bearish and net short as we get ready for another trading week to begin.
By

Jim Cramer and Jack Mohr

 | Feb 5, 2016 | 6:30 AM EST

It's one of the more intriguing of Alphabet's 'Other Bets.'

By

Doug Kass

 | Feb 1, 2016 | 1:32 PM EST
Taking a Closer Look at the Domestic Parks. We have been bullish on the domestic parks segment since spring 2013, given our belief that the margin-expansion story would accelerate faster than expected, driven by moderating expenses and stronger revenue growth. We now think the bulk of the domestic-margin expansion has played out, with occupancy approaching peak levels and ticket-price increases likely moderating. Occupancy Approaching Peak Levels. With domestic-occupancy levels increasing from 82% in fiscal 2011 to 88% in fiscal 2016E, we think the majority of future revenue growth from the hotels will have to come from price going forward. We note the increase in occupancy (even with the addition of "Art of Animation") translated to an estimated incremental 1.37 million occupied rooms in fiscal 2016E compared to fiscal 2011, at an average room rate (over the five-year period) of $282 a night. Hotel Promotions Moderating. Given the increased occupancy levels, we expect DIS to be less promotional at Walt Disney World and Disneyland. We have already seen promotions at WDW for this spring come in 5% below a year ago. Increased Occupancy Drives Ticket, Food, Beverage and Merchandise Sales. Assuming the increase in occupancy helped drive attendance and spend at the parks, we estimate this accounted for incremental revenue and EBIT of $858 million and $476 million, respectively, over the past five years, representing 50%+ of EBIT growth at the domestic parks. Margins & Estimates. We assume domestic-park margins have increased from 12.8% in fiscal 2011 to an expected 21.1% in fiscal 2016. Going forward, we assume annual margin expansion of about 60 basis points a year in fiscal 2016-2020, translating to a slowing of EBIT growth to 9% over the same period. We are tweaking our fiscal 2017 and 2018 earnings per share to $6 and $6.63, respectively, vs. the prior estimate of $6.01 and $6.65 and the consensus of $6.22 and $6.81. Our fiscal 2016 EPS is unchanged at $5.57."
By

Chris Laudani

 | Jan 28, 2016 | 11:00 AM EST

Rising content costs and a saturated market will weigh heavily on NFLX.

By

Doug Kass

 | Jan 27, 2016 | 6:05 PM EST
A day full of sound and fury but perhaps signifying nothing. As I expected, the Fed acknowledged tightening financial conditions in the credit markets. Spreads have widened and the cost of debt and capital has risen. Here's my Fed analysis  and my strategy.  I viewed the strength in oil, in bank stocks and in credit (high yield) as providing hope and encouragement to me. I remain upbeat. I view the selloff today as an opportunity; I added to Hartford Financial Services Group (HIG), Comerica (CMA), Citigroup (C), Bank of America (BAC) and others. I had a damn love fest with RevShark today! Not surprisingly, stocks sold off and RevShark's correction prediction came to be. Here is what I wrote to Rev in Columnist Conversation: "I believe the obvious and consensus trade is to sell as the markets have ripped from Wednesday's lows -- of course there is a lot of space between then and now. But I am making what I believe to be the less obvious and contrary trade -- and I am buying. I believe markets will be relieved and that many are "offsides" for a further market advance. The beauty here is that you and I employ a level of transparently in our real-time trades, exercising our beliefs and show our analysis that yields our conclusions. Either outcome, I like -- and I hope is helpful to our subs." Where was the Divine Ms. M today when I needed her? On the other hand, I don't even know how to respond to Roger Arnold's over-the-top column on a "failing" Bank of America!!!!?!?!?!   But I shall remain respectful. From Columnist Conversations: "I intended to respond to your BAC column but it's been a hectic day and I didn't get the chance. I am diametrically opposed to your view, conclusion and analysis. The only way to deal with your speculative claims is to respond with facts. In the fullness of time I will show you my spreadsheets, which show that the bank's balance sheet is significantly improved and that it is growing its loan portfolio. The key to a bank's future growth is its capital and deposits, and Bank of America has plenty of both." Futures are up after the close. Up five handles -- Facebook (FB) effect? Futures recovered nearly half of the 30-point drop as of 4:40 p.m. ET. They bent but didn't break. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) closed down $2.07 -- it was down $3.10 at the worse level of the day. Technically, it looks like we had the third repudiation of SPY $191 and we have the support at the Wednesday gap at $185. But, so obvious! The U.S. dollar weakened. Gold was up another $4.40, continuing its multiday skein higher. Crude oil rose by 60 cents. The correlation between stocks and energy prices was abandoned today. In agricultural commodities, wheat was schmeissed (down eight cents) and corn was flat. Lumber was strong. Bonds reversed slightly to the upside after early morning weakness. Yields were flat to down two basis points across the maturities range. Municipals were well-bid and high yield was slightly lower in price and higher in yield. I am all in Blackstone/GSO Strategic Credit Fund (BGB) and the three-day winning streak stayed intact. I finally like the developing price action. Apple (AAPL) was a feature and I contributed my two bits!  Banks, though well off their highs, were up on the day in a broadly lower tape. Life insurance stocks continued their steady descent; we have nearly 25% gains on MetLife (MET) and Lincoln National (LNC) shorts now. Staples were strong, absolutely and relatively, with gains in Procter & Gamble (PG), 3M (MMM) and Kimberly-Clark (KMB). Oils were mixed despite stronger crude prices. Media continued to get crushed; my gains are building up in my short book in this sector, where I'm short Comcast (CMCSA) and Disney (DIS). Old tech was crippled today, led by Microsoft (MSFT) and Buffett fav IBM (IBM). Another new low for iShares China Large-Cap (FXI). A short and on the Best Ideas List.  Autos were stable. Ford (F) was down and General Motors (GM) was up.  I am sticking to these shorts, but trimmed considerably last week. (T)FANG was broadly lower, ex Facebook (see below). I have been warning about this acronym for two months and its underperformance is conspicuous."The Day of Reckoning Near for the (T)FANGs?" from two weeks ago. Amazon (AMZN) was down $18 ("A Long List of Reasons to Short Amazon") and Netflix (NFLX) is really breaking down. I recently wrote up both and shorted -- NFLX is on my Best Ideas List (10/12/2015 at $113).  NOSH was not tasty, with Nike (NKE) and Starbucks (SBUX) weighing it down. CRABBY was not so; it was up across the board, though timidly so. Miracle of miracles!  Potash (POT), Radian Group (RDN) and Twitter (TWTR) showed some life after death today. All higher, but modestly so. eBay (EBAY) missed and guided lower after the close. Shares down by 11%. Mo mo oh no! Biotech was a wreck, with broad losses in the primary and secondary names. iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology (IBB) was down by almost 4%, led by rollup Valeant Pharmaceuticals (VRX) going down and by Mallinckrodt (MNK). The same sellers in IBB are likely selling (T)FANG. Facebook's results were the "world's fair." Nothing NOT to dislike!
By

Doug Kass

 | Jan 26, 2016 | 8:49 AM EST
"Disasters have a way of not happening."
By

Skip Raschke

 | Jan 26, 2016 | 8:30 AM EST

An ETF should be considered as a hedging candidate.

I respectfully disagree. Scalia's passing will likely have little impact on the electorate...
All; I've received a few questions about the subject of my column for this weekend about t...

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